Department of Research, Studies and International News 27-09-2024

China said on Thursday that its launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) into the Pacific Ocean was “legitimate and routine,” insisting that its nuclear stance remained defensive after the rare test prompted an outcry from countries in the region.

Beijing announced the trial on Wednesday — its first such test in four decades — saying the missile was carrying a dummy warhead.

The launch sparked protests from countries in the region, with China’s neighbor Japan saying it had not been notified in advance and Taiwan condemning the move.

Beijing’s Defense Ministry said on Thursday the test was “a legitimate and routine arrangement” that aimed to “test our weapon and training performance.”

“China’s nuclear policy is very stable, consistent and predictable,” ministry spokesman Zhang Xiaogang told a news conference in the capital Beijing.

“We strictly follow a nuclear policy of no first use of nuclear weapons and pursue a nuclear strategy of self-defense,” he said.

China does not seek an “arms race,” he added, and has “promised not to use or threaten to use nuclear weapons against non-nuclear weapons states or weapon-free zones.”

“China will continue to keep its nuclear capabilities at the minimum level required for national security,” Zhang said.

International outcry

Japan said it had not been given advance warning of the launch. Taiwan, the self-ruled island that Beijing claims as its territory, expressed “solemn condemnation.”

Australia said it was seeking “an explanation,” while New Zealand called the launch “an unwelcome and concerning development.”

French Polynesia President Moetai Brotherson said “the missile fell not far from… the Marquesas Islands,” an archipelago that is part of its exclusive economic zone.

“The Chinese authorities previously notified their French counterparts of this test,” the French High Commission said in a statement, adding that France would make its position on the test known.

The Pentagon also said the United States received “some advanced notification of this ICBM test,” describing the notification as “a step in the right direction” that would help prevent “misperception or miscalculation.”

China’s military released imagery of the missile on Thursday that showed the projectile soaring into the air in a plume of smoke from an undisclosed location.

Analysts said the imagery suggested the launch could be of a Dongfeng-31 AG ICBM, unveiled during a military parade in 2017.

Growing arsenal

Beijing has stepped up its nuclear development and boosted defense spending in recent years.

The Pentagon warned last October that China was developing its arsenal more quickly than the US had anticipated.

China held more than 500 operational nuclear warheads as of May 2023 and is likely to have more than 1,000 by 2030, the Pentagon said.

One analyst told Agence France-Presse (AFP) that Beijing was “clearly trying to… signal that ‘we are strong.'”

“It sends a signal to the US and its allies… that China has the military ability to react in the event of any escalation of tensions between the US and China,” said Benjamin Ho, assistant professor at Singapore’s S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies’ China Program.